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Defending Australia: Tributary State or Hard Target?

The reminder of oath at the beginning of the obstacle course, Tully Battle School, 1990. 

Danger On Our DoorstepDanger On Our Doorstep by Jim Molan
My rating: 5 of 5 stars

Jim Molan's book is provocative but also sets out some possibilities that are certainly not far-fetched. While I felt the future scenario description was not quite in the same vein as Nevil Shute's On the Beach, it was certainly disturbing. Molan also mentions James Curran (p. 176), so I intend to read Curran's Australia's China Odyssey: From Euphoria to Fear next. I was fortunate enough to attend Curran's book launch and I bought a signed copy.

One of Molan's statements that struck me relates to the potential impact of AUKUS (p. 171):

Ironically, AUKUS increases both the likelihood that China can be deterred from taking military action, and the likelihood that a war will occur sooner.
Like many others, I had long hoped that Australia could manage our strategic relationships with the Untied States and China simultaneously, but China's "wolf warrior" diplomacy and its willingness to use trade as a "weapon" changed my tune pretty quickly. I was also concerned by the Morrison government calling out China on the origins of COVID-19 among other issues. But at the same time, teaching political leadership and considering the likes of Neville Chamberlain and his firm belief that appeasement was working only makes me glad that Morrison had the fortitude to call China out on its shenanigans.

On a more mundane level, the term "Contested Logistics" (p. 222) was new to me. One of the United States' major strengths has been its logistics capabilities. But Australia is not so well-regarded. For example, following the shortages of toilet paper and food in Australia on a whim during the pandemic, it is clear that Australia's capacity for basic logistics is lacking, which makes me wonder about our capacity for contested logistics. Molan discusses "national capacity" as the population's willingness to fight and win a war, and this is an area that bothers me the most.

In my most recent article in The Spectator Australia, I argued that universities following woke trends from the US are making us "harmless". Molan (p. 258) argues that universities (along with other institutions) have a key role to address "deficiencies in skills enhancement". But I think universities are not even close to having a meaningful impact on skills enhancement and we are encouraging neither "self-reliance" nor "resilience" (p. 268) in our students. In fact, I believe we are encouraging a fragmented society that neither could nor would be willing to win a war, even in self-defence. While I do hope I am wrong, and that the current woke trend will pass, Molan paints a picture that we should not ignore if we are to continue to live our rather blessed lives as we have done since the end of World War II.

This is an important book in that it raises a number of issues and scenarios that policymakers need to heed. But I do believe that policymakers in the national security sector are so institutionalised as to reinforce these very institutions through returns that reward sticking with the norm. Molan does suggest that Australia needs a national security strategy that is not just run by Defence.

But with interest groups in the Defence Industry sector so tightly entwined, I suspect we will have to suffer the initial losses that democracies tend to suffer at the beginning of wars as we have done in previous wars. Molan provides ample warning for this, but I really do worry that contemporary Australians would rather we became a "tributary state" than stand our ground or present a hard target.

Molan writes that when people ask him what we need to do, they immediately rattle off (p. 252):

B-21 bombers, F-22 fighters, conscription, reform of the Federation, nuclear weapons, a nuclear power industry...
I, too, have been guilty of looking to technologies rather than strategies. But at the same time, we do not have real policy debates where we focus on obtaining rigorous answers to difficult strategic questions. If we leave it up to the existing institutions, we get the same result. If we open it up to free and open debate, we are telegraphing our intentions.

Neither solution is adequate, and while Molan provides some of the important questions, he does not provide the solutions (nor could one person). Nevertheless, this is quite a thought-provoking work and it is well worth a read as it provides an important starting point for an Australian national security strategy.

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The Slippery Slope to Socialism

The Slippery Slope to Socialism

The threat to individual liberty that began in universities in the United States gathered momentum during the pandemic. That threat is evident in our legal system and is now materialising in the energy sector. Unfettered government control over our individual lives is the logical endgame of current climate change policy if we allow it to happen. And let’s not kid ourselves – we’re on a slippery slope to socialism.

Here is my latest article in The Spectator's Flat White, The Slippery Slope to Socialism:

Towards a National Digital Comms Strategy

Journal of Telecommunications and the Digital Economy

My latest article in the Journal of Telecommunications and the Digital Economy:

Abstract

In  the  early  21st  century,  governments  developed  national  broadband  plans  to  supply high-speed broadband networks for the emerging digital economy and to enable digital services  delivery.  Most  national  broadband  plans  are  now  focused  on  moving  to  ever  faster  networks, but there is a growing need to develop national digital communications strategies to focus  on  the  demand-side  of  the  broadband  “eco-system”.  In  this  paper,  we  outline  the  approaches adopted by the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Singapore, and Korea to assist in the development (or renewal) of Australia’s national broadband strategy, or, as we prefer, national digital communications strategy. The paper draws on the lessons learned from the case-study countries and the recent pandemic and considers some theoretical aspects of the broadband ecosystem. We conclude by suggesting a process to re-evaluate Australia’s national digital  communications  strategy  as  it  rolls  forward,  and  to  incorporate  recent  international  trends  to  develop  demand-side  policies  to  enable  greater adoption  and  use  of  existing  broadband infrastructure and digital services.

Citation

de Percy, M. A., Campbell, L., & Reddy, N. (2022). Towards an Australian Digital Communications Strategy: Lessons from Cross-Country Case Studies. Journal of Telecommunications and the Digital Economy, 10(4), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.18080/jtde.v10n4.650 

Year in Review: 2022

Donald the Silver Laced Wyandotte Rooster, Keswick, 15th December 2022

This year has been so hectic I barely recall what happened. The last time I felt like this was in 1993 after I graduated from the Royal Military College Duntroon. It was the same year my first son was born (the day before First Class started in July 1993) and the entire time was a blur. Ending this year with COVID has been a real downer, and instead of celebrating Christmas, I am fighting lethargy as the left-over work builds up yet again to ensure there is no year-end downtime.

I began the year with jury duty which was disturbing due to the nature of the case and annoying because the nature of my employment means that anything that disrupts my work, like leave or jury duty, just means that the weeks of work back up until I return. Beginning and ending the year this way really sucks. But there have been some major highlights that make it a successful year overall.

One thing that was an important driver for an improved life was taking a hearing test. I discovered that I have suffered critical hearing loss in my left ear, and severe hearing loss in my right ear. The suburban shopping mall hearing test centre wanted to charge me some $12,000 for state-of-the-art hearing aids. The hearing aids were so good when I trialled them that I didn't want to take them off. Alas, the price was a rip-off and I found Specsavers Audiology had a similar product that, when combined with my Department of Veterans Affairs (DVA) rebate and my Defence Health rebate, the top product was around $1,350 out of pocket. It has been life-changing.

Returning to the defence fold was life-changing, too. I didn't know that there is such a thing as the Australian Defence Veteran's Covenant and the veteran's pension supplement as part of the DVA White Card that all former serving ADF members are now eligible for - this has been around for years. I had walked out of the military when I became an academic, determined to pursue a different life. But the Army has always been a big part of my family. In the New Year, I will continue to put forward claims from the injuries I sustained during my service. As I age, these are becoming more pronounced and will only get worse.

My experience in the last few weeks of my regular army service was pretty sad. Come to think of it, it replicates many of the same events that happened mid-career as an academic. I played the lieutenant too well and after a leadership change, my previous loyalties were detrimental to my future. A combination of ego and pride didn't help. So there's a huge lesson already to reflect upon.

But a major change was returning to the RSL and becoming the representative for the Gunning Chapter of the Yass Sub-Branch. I renewed my membership and helped out with ANZAC Day 2022 where I led the march, read In Flanders Fields, and then did the same again for Remembrance Day 2022. I feel connected to the community of veterans here in Gunning and, along with playing snooker when we weren't in COVID lockdowns or impacted by the flooding, that has been a highlight.

I was assigned jury duty in the first half of the year although this was not a highlight. I ended up being excused after a cock-up by the legal parties, but it took two weeks out of my work that I then had to catch up on. This led to some rather unfair consequences for me and I railed against the injustice. But rather than carry on like a dick, the experience led me to return to politics in a way I had not done since becoming an academic. It has been a rewarding experience and I hope I can make an impactful contribution in that space next year.

I also joined the Royal Automobile Club of Australia, a long-held desire, and I have taken advantage of the Club on numerous occasions to either stay, park the car, or have a drink or coffee before and after events I have attended in Sydney. Regrettably, I missed two of the most desirable events in the last part of the year due to COVID. It really sucked but I have been Stoic about it - I can't control my body or its illness so there is no use carrying on about it.

In the early part of the year, I was appointed to the Australian Research Council's College of Experts. This has been a privilege and I have learnt so much already. It provides the added advantage of enabling me to conduct research using the consulting fees I receive as research funding. On top of this, I was awarded a bonus for my research output in 2021, so I had funding to travel to Korea and Perth for research and a keynote address. Two weeks in Korea was a highlight of the year, and there are so many opportunities there for future visits. It is a lovely place and I cannot wait to explore it in more detail.

By mid-year, we had finished work on our book, COVID-19 and Foreign Aid: Nationalism and Global Development in a New World Order. It was quite the effort but we got there in the end. Along with the book, I wrote one chapter and co-authored two more.

During the winter, we travelled to Cairns and met my partner's mother and two of my three grandchildren. COVID lockdowns were particularly sad times for weddings and welcoming in new family members. And Cairns was unseasonably cool so despite staying in the faded grandeur of the Kewarra Beach Resort, there was no suitable weather for swimming. 

Then we took an actual holiday and went to Singapore as soon as the borders were open. We had a great time at the Regent Hotel and enjoyed some fine dining, some great bars and local food, and generally had a great time. Although I have been to Singapore many times, it was good to explore some of the finer things and not have to be working. Nevertheless, I was contacted by work via Facebook asking if I was teaching the next day - someone forget to mention the changed timetable - this sucked and it set me up for an even greater backlog before returning to work. Leave has often been not a break from work, it is a pause where your work backs up for however long you are away. That will be different next year. Leave will be a time when I do not work and I have a relaxing time and when I return, I begin new work with no backlog.

There have been several sad events this year. My best good little man Pablo died in my arms after a long period of liver failure. He is still in my dreams every night and I miss him terribly. Our buff Sussex rooster also died but we have a new rooster, Donald, who is full of character and will hopefully be big enough soon to not only protect himself but protect the flock. Lenny the cat has hyperthyroidism and needs daily medication and little Frida the mini-foxie is also on her last legs with heart failure imminent. Frankie has her moments with Addison's Disease. Desi the indestructible cat with a case of an incurable cherry eye due to his skin fragility syndrome still has a death wish but is now over five years of age, defying the usual outcome of being euthanised at 12 months of age. Joseph the Vet retiring and moving away was a sad end to a rewarding relationship, but the new vets at Gundaroo are keeping me happy.

Thankfully, our other cats Karl and Valentine remain blissfully healthy. We are down to six chickens plus Donald the rooster. We still have an ongoing supply of eggs despite the girls pushing five years now. While having so many pets around the same age can be quite tragic as they pass, without their little souls around my feet, I doubt life would be quite as enriched as they make it.

Creating opportunities for internships has been a highlight, with two successful interns this year, one leading to a journal article in the closing weeks of December. I was elected as the Vice President of TelSoc after spending the previous year as a board member, and I was re-elected to the Vice Chair position with the ACT & Southern NSW Chapter of CILTA. I was also granted full membership to the Australian Nuclear Association and my aim to conduct research work in the three main areas of networked infrastructure policy, telecommunications, transport, and energy, now has a practical element and an industry focus as I learn from my various networks and the events that have been inspiring this year.

I have tried to focus on politics as a contest of ideas and, rather than sit on the sidelines as Le Flaneur Politique, I changed my focus from being non-partisan to "remaining aloof from the groupthink of the contemporary academy". With the change in government, the "wokerati" have taken every advantage and are hell-bent on destroying the way we live. It has become increasingly obvious that free speech and academic freedom are being curtailed. I am a big believer in "use it or lose it", so I took a few opportunities, and made a few mistakes, but managed to get there in the end.

I also participated in numerous events, conferences, technical site visits, webinars, seminars, and so on. Here is a comprehensive list of events I attended or participated in: Recent Events Roundup: August to December 2022

But my change of heart really began when I read an article in the Lowy Institute's The Interpreter, where someone was arguing that our energy security depended on even more renewables. I have watched the Cullerin Wind Farm nearby with its 15 turbines sitting idle for weeks now. One thing that is becoming clear is that these turbines require maintenance, and their lifespan is not as long as originally thought. How these "renewable" infrastructure items provide energy "security" is beyond me. So I penned an article with a colleague on the need for nuclear energy to be on the table. Let's just say that there was an issue with academic freedom.

Those who not only celebrated Labor's election win but who then celebrated the death of Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II and went on a tirade about decolonising everything and "acknowledging country" as a performative measure of morality are plain wrong. Our economic situation and Labor's over-the-top socialism will prove that in due course.

Then there was the focus on "toxic masculinity" in my professional body. If you are woke, you can say whatever you like no matter how wrong and this leads to accolades and celebrations. If you do not celebrate the stupidity that is leading us down the garden path to economic ruin and social fracturing which is a security threat in itself, then you run the risk of being ostracised or labelled with a number of woke insults that stick like mud to the proverbial blanket. These situations led me to delete my Twitter account and not renew my membership in this professional body gone woke. Leaving Twitter had nothing to do with Elon Musk, but rather that it had become a cesspool of wokeness that was driving me to despair. Leaving my professional association means I no longer write to an audience that hates what I write and actively aims to destroy the way I live, but it also means I can focus on things that are important to me. 

After watching the news media go after the Coalition, especially The Guardian and the ABC, and watching what my woke friends on Facebook were debating, and then seeing what the Albanese Government has already done to threaten our freedoms, way of life, and the rule of law, I decided to take sides. The jobs and skills summit set me off. I'd been writing a few articles and submitting these to a variety of places but to no avail. There was nowhere for my ideas. I had experienced this with a journal the year before where I wrote a controversies piece. The article was rejected with the two reviewers writing responses longer than my piece to debate what I had said before rejecting it. Obviously, the article had the desired effect but the wokerati have taken over the academy in strength.

I looked at how The Guardian had infiltrated Australia, and I remembered writing an article for The Punch when it appeared briefly in Australia many years ago. I miss The Bulletin, that Australian weekly magazine, and The Monthly and The New Statesman and a bunch of other old-school mastheads were so woke I couldn't bear it - the left-wing orthodoxy has infiltrated everywhere. Except for The Spectator

For the last few weeks of the year, I decided to write my ideas in a space where they would not be shut down by the wokerati. Even The Conversation went so woke as to censor people's comments for things the editors did not agree with - this is completely against the liberal ideal and I will not contribute to it. To date, I have written ten articles for The Spectator and it has been a highlight. As I found my own voice and I am learning not to self-censor (as opposed to completely removing my filter!), I have found other outlets.

I wrote a submission into the Morrison's Multiple Ministries saga that was cited but rejected by the Inquiry. My article on Rewiring the Nation versus nuclear led to a television interview with Fred Pawle. I had some success began quoted in the media on transport-related topics, and I was a keynote speaker on three occasions at the CILT World Congress (hydrogen), the Goulburn Soldiers Club (nuclear), and the 8th Bienniel ACSPRI Methodology Conference (using historical constitutionalism as method). I missed two great events in late December due to illness, but hopefully, the opportunities will be there next year.

What to do next year? I will continue to write as my research and ideas dictate, but I will focus on an audience that is interested in my ideas. Writing for woke audiences would be easy - I could write on woke topics and be published, but it would be a form of manipulation that smacks of intellectual laziness and I cannot be so untrue to myself.

I want to get my podcast happening regularly and start writing books (I have two editors waiting on proposals). I have a pipeline of journal articles now but I will not focus on A* nonsense journals that do not engage with industry or reflect the importance of research for Australia. I also hope to make inroads into public policy in NSW and Australia more generally and will continue to contribute submissions to public inquiries when I can. I hope to continue to develop internships for the best and brightest of my students and I hope to continue to contribute to The Spectator. To have one of my articles in the print edition would be great.

These are scary times for Australia. After years of living in Canberra and being part of the academic bubble, I am so glad I moved to Gunning and became part of the federation again. Listening to the opinions of the forgotten people has been refreshing. Writing for The Spectator has given me a taste for free speech like I have never had before. I will use it and not lose it.

It has been a long, hard road this year. But like all years, I have lived up to my credo - my guiding principles are Love, Liberty, and Learning. On reflection, I have been successful on these three fronts this year.

Recent Events Roundup: August to December 2022

Mr Heath McMichael, HE Mr John Ma’o Kali CMG OBE and HE Mr Robert Sisilo

I've attended some excellent events both online and in-person recently. I have listed them here for posterity.

      • 13th September 2022 - CILTA and AcademyGlobal - CILTA Private Tour of Rail Operation Centre in Alexandria.
      • 19th to 21st September 2022 - TLOG Conference 2022, Panel Chair, Incheon National University, Republic of Korea, and TLOG Technical Site Visits.

      • 6th October 2022 - CEDA: Victor Dominello - Portfolio update | Customer service and digital government.
      • 7th October 2022 - Duntroon Society: Lunch with Matt Anderson, PSM, Director of the Australian War Memorial.

      • 21st October 2022 - Charles Todd Oration - TelSoc - Minister for Communications the Hon Michelle Rowland MP, Doltone House, Sydney.
      • 21st November 2022 - The Australian National University - JG Crawford Oration 2022, delivered by the Hon Dr Kevin Rudd AC [online].

      Whither the Liberal Party?

      Liberal Party of Australia, 2019 Election Flyer [CC0] 

      Despite being the natural party of government for decades in Australia, the “broad church” of the Liberal Party appears to be on the ropes. Some say the Liberals need to be more like the teal independents, others that they need to become even more conservative. Neither approach will work. What is needed is a grassroots movement that puts the “liberal” back into the Liberal Party and halts the green-left’s long march through our institutions before it’s too late (and we all sing kumbaya like we have a diversity of views as seen on Q&A.)

      Conservatism in its Hobbesian sense was less about a focus on unthinking ‘tradition’ a la Fiddler on the Roof, and more about having a strong government to ensure a stable and free society. Sir Edmund Burke thought English liberalism better than the revolution-to-liberty path taken by the Americans and the French to achieve what the English had already developed – a strong state, a separation of powers, and a Westminster tradition that was stable enough to make daily life predictable, yet flexible enough to allow governments to govern. Until recently, Australia was such a place, where individuals have rights and responsibilities but are viewed as rational beings capable of looking after their own welfare and being tolerant of each other’s divergent views a la John Locke.

      This complex intertwining of conservatism and liberalism is at the heart of the Liberal Party ideal, and it is the major difference between the Liberal Party and all the others. Or it used to be, anyway.

      Since the late 1990s, internal rifts between liberals and conservatives created the disunity to allow green-left converts within the Liberal Party, what I call il-Liberals, to routinely cross the floor (on ideological, not policy grounds), wish the party was more like the teals, or otherwise develop what I call unoriginal ‘non-policy’ by pursuing the exact opposite of what the government of the day is doing. Rather than strong individual leadership that the flexible party structure allows, the Liberal Party is developing factions and systems of compliance that mirror the green-left and their mini-dictatorships driven by political correctness and woke compliance.

      To be sure, Liberals past tried to protect free speech and  academic freedom, but much of the focus was not on core principles but targeted at groups who might (hopefully, one day) support them in an election. This only demonstrates that the Liberals have forgotten the forgotten people.

      People didn’t vote for Joh Bjelke-Petersen because he was politically correct, they voted for him (ongoing gerrymandering aside) because he said he was going to do something and then he did it. People didn’t vote for Daniel Andrews because his socialist policies have merit, it’s because he does what he says he is going to do (or so my father reckons). Sorry, did you say something Mr Guy? I didn’t hear you.

      Prime Minister Albanese is not of this mould, or your power bills would be down by $275. The jury is still out on whether this means that they will be reduced by $275 by 2025 from the time of the election, or whether after increasing by thousands of dollars they will be $275 less than the highest price between now and 2025. But people voted for Albanese because Morrison was on the nose. And the voters are always right.

      Mr Rudd couldn’t hold is temper. Ms Gillard held the backstabbing blade only too well. Mr Abbott couldn’t let go of his enthusiasm for the 1950s, and former PM Scott Morrison couldn’t hold a hose. Mr Turnbull epitomised the worst of the Liberal Party and its current dilemma. Mr Howard, sans broadband, said what he would do and then did it. That’s leadership.

      Whether the National Party’s decision to stand behind the brilliant Senator Jacinta Nampijinpa Price is a vote winner remains to be seen, but it is saying what they will do and then doing it. It is also leadership.

      Mr Dutton is biding his time and letting politics run its natural course during Labor’s extended honeymoon. Hopefully we will witness some leadership from him soon. But I do hope he or any future Liberal prime minister will end these back-and-forth inquiries into previous governments. If it is not illegal, then the voters have the final say.

      Or do they?

      The terms of reference for the recent inquiry into Scott Morrison’s multiple ministries appear to have been designed to support a censure in the lower house. Supposedly, Mr Morrison’s bizarre and unnecessarily secretive appointments ‘eroded public trust in responsible government’. Voters knew this already - that’s why he was voted out.

      But Mr Albanese thought a bit of deflection from his broken promises and the swiftly sinking ‘Blackout Bowen’ energy policy (amid the dodgy jobs and skills ‘pattern bargaining’ approval by that workplace relations and climate science expert, the highly experienced Senator David Pocock), might be a good way to end the year. None of that has eroded public trust in responsible government (said nobody ever).

      Here’s a quick list of all the things going wrong for the Libs: the antics of Tasmanian MP Bridget Archer, NSW Treasurer Matthew Kean, and Mr Malcolm ‘Barnacle’ Turnbull still clinging on for dear life. And Matthew Guy playing Little Dan ‘Lite and Easy’ (is the mic working?) hasn’t helped. That socialism is now rampant in Victoria should be a warning for the ACT Liberals (who no longer have a Liberal senator) that saying you’ll be the same horse with a different jockey is simply non-policy.

      Any wonder the Liberals are in trouble.

      But there is movement at the station. Or at least at the Coalition station. Standing up against the Voice (being called racist for being against a policy with zero details?). Standing up against ‘Blackout Bowen’ (paying through the nose for zero emissions?). Nuclear (it’s a thing). It’s all a good start. Let’s hear now from Mr Dutton. But wait, there’s more.

      How about really standing up for free speech, academic freedom, and the rule of law? Where the rule of law is sacrosanct and public prosecutors are not emotionally invested in court cases (Did I say that out loud? See free speech, academic freedom above).

      P.S. Liberal: adjective, willing to respect or accept behaviour or opinions different from one's own; open to new ideas (Dear US Democrats, get your own word). Liberalism: noun, a political and social philosophy that promotes individual rights, civil liberties, democracy, and free enterprise. Liberal Party of Australia: ‘In short, we simply believe in individual freedom and free enterprise; and if you share this belief, then ours is the Party for you’ (terms and conditions apply). Woke: colloquial, none of the above.

      Striking down the law to get at the devil

      Robert Bolt's 'A Man for All Seasons'. Photo: Patrick Huber [CC BY-NC-SA 2.0] 

      It began when the lawns atop Parliament House were fenced off. The whole point of the design of Parliament House was to enable the physical and symbolic act of the people walking over the Parliament as a reminder that our elected representatives are beneath the people. Parliamentary sovereignty in Australia means that the people are sovereign. Since, however, Australia has been on a crash course to diminish the sovereignty of the people as technocrats incrementally grab more power. And we are letting it happen.

      Here is my latest article in The Spectator's Flat White, The sovereignty of technocrats and rule of lawyers. The editorial read:
      Australians are getting the distinct feeling that they are no longer governed over by law – but rather by lawyers, technocrats, the media, and celebrities. It’s not only the bizarre ritual of ‘trial by mob’ making a comeback in the #MeToo era – it is everything. Our institutions have lost touch with what were once binding ideas and now society has been cast adrift, left to the mercy of headlines and hashtags.

      ACT Liberals and Light Rail: Too little too late?

       

      Old School "Light Rail" (trams) in Hong Kong. [Michael de Percy CC BY-ND-SA 4.0]

      My comments on the ACT Liberals' election plan to oppose further development of light rail in the ACT and the challenges of alternatives such as "trackless trams" and related sunk costs, on ABC Radio Canberra this morning. From 1:07:00.

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